This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Buffalo Bulls and Akron Zips scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and over/under total points, with consistent resolution logic across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution principles: final score determination including overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split). All spread and total markets use consistent threshold logic.
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score records and game documentation
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Buffalo Bulls win resolves to Buffalo; Akron Zips win resolves to Akron
Spread -12.5: Akron wins by 13+ points resolves to Akron; otherwise Buffalo
Spread -13.5: Akron wins by 14+ points resolves to Akron; otherwise Buffalo
Spread -14.5: Akron wins by 15+ points resolves to Akron; otherwise Buffalo
Over/Under 158.5: Combined score 159+ resolves to Over; below 159 resolves to Under
Over/Under 159.5: Combined score 160+ resolves to Over; below 160 resolves to Under
Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
Cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime: All final scores include overtime periods; no separate overtime resolution logic
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled game is completed
Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Spread Push: If Akron wins by exactly the spread threshold (e.g., 13 points on -12.5), Akron resolves to Yes; if Buffalo wins or loses by less, Buffalo resolves to Yes
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final official score is recorded by NCAA, typically within hours of game completion on March 12, 2026
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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