This event group covers the NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Bucknell Bison and Navy Midshipmen scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Navy. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread variants, and over/under total points.
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Bucknell win and Navy win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent but contain multiple spread variants with different thresholds.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets - they cannot be resolved. For Polymarket, use the moneyline for simple winner prediction. If trading spreads, confirm whether you need Navy to cover -16.5 (17+ point margin) or -15.5 (16+ point margin). Resolution will be based on final official NCAA score including overtime.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline markets state both Bucknell win and Navy win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable. No valid outcome exists.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Bucknell Bison or Navy Midshipmen). Two spread markets exist: -16.5 (Navy wins by 17+) and -15.5 (Navy wins by 16+). Two over/under markets: 133.5 (134+ combined) and 134.5 (135+ combined). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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