TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bucknell Bison vs. Holy Cross Crusaders (W)
Volume:
$13,479
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Bucknell Bison and Holy Cross Crusaders scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bucknell win and Holy Cross win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is broken and creates data integrity failure. The platform likely intended a Yes/No structure (Yes = game completes with any winner, No = cancellation), but as written, both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. Treat Polymarket as the reliable resolution source. Avoid Kalshi until official clarification is published.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to Bucknell Bison if Bucknell wins; resolves to Holy Cross Crusaders if Holy Cross wins. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by resolving 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure. States both Holy Cross victory and Bucknell victory resolve to Yes, violating binary market principles. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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