A college basketball game between Bryant Bulldogs and Vermont Catamounts scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -12.5 and -13.5, and total points over/under at 134.5 and 133.5.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Bryant and Vermont outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it cannot be resolved. Use Polymarket moneyline as the binding winner determination. For spreads and totals, both platforms align on cancellation (50-50 if no make-up game) and overtime inclusion, so those markets are safe to trade.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Vermont wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Bryant wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction that makes resolution impossible. No outcome can be determined.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Bryant Bulldogs' if Bryant wins or 'Vermont Catamounts' if Vermont wins. Spread and total markets all include consistent edge-case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50, overtime included in final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.