TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bryant Bulldogs vs. UMBC Retrievers
Volume:
$1,707,250
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Bryant Bulldogs and UMBC Retrievers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (multiple thresholds), and over/under totals (multiple thresholds).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Bryant win or UMBC win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is unresolvable as written. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket only. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are logically consistent and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market structure is logically broken. Both outcomes (Bryant win and UMBC win) resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario. Quote: If Bryant wins the game, market resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins the game, market also resolves to Yes. This guarantees Yes resolution regardless of actual game result.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market is logically sound. Bryant win resolves to Bryant Bulldogs, UMBC win resolves to UMBC Retrievers. Spread markets resolve based on margin thresholds (UMBC -9.5, -10.5, -11.5). Over/under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds (138.5, 139.5). All edge cases addressed: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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