TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bruins vs. Lightning
Volume:
$1,269,224
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning NHL game scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner, (2) total goals scored (multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin of victory spreads (1.5 and 2.5 goal differentials). All markets treat overtime and shootouts identically, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to the winning team for scoring purposes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on spread/margin outcomes (win by 1.5+ or 2.5+ goals), while Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner, total goals over/under thresholds, and spread outcomes. The platforms do not share a common market structure.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting exclusively on margin-of-victory outcomes (Bruins or Lightning winning by specific goal differentials). If you trade on Polymarket, you have multiple independent markets: moneyline (who wins), four separate over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals), and one spread market. Do not assume a YES on Kalshi's margin market corresponds to any single Polymarket outcome — they are orthogonal betting structures.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only four margin-of-victory markets, each resolving YES if either team wins by a specified goal threshold (1.5 or 2.5 goals). All four markets reference the same game (Boston at Tampa Bay, April 4, 2026) and resolve based on final margin only. Key quote: 'If Boston wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six independent markets covering moneyline (Bruins vs. Lightning winner), four total-goals over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and one spread market (Lightning -1.5). These markets resolve on different underlying metrics: winner, combined score, and margin. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Bruins and Lightning combine to score 7 or more goals' (O/U 6.5) and 'This market will resolve to Lightning if the Lightning win the game by 2 or more goals' (Spread: Lightning -1.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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