TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bruins vs. Flyers
Description
On April 5, 2025 at 3:30 PM ET, the Boston Bruins face the Philadelphia Flyers in a regular-season NHL matchup. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the shootout winner's total), with contingencies for postponement (markets remain open) or cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Multiple total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) allow traders to bet on combined scoring thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on moneyline winner (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on total goals scored (Over/Under markets) and moneyline. Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: both outcomes (PHI wins OR BOS wins) resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's markets entirely — they contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to YES, making them unresolvable. Trade only on Polymarket, which offers standard moneyline and total goals markets with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory. Both rules state 'the market resolves to Yes' regardless of outcome: 'If PHI Flyers wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If BOS Bruins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable because every realistic scenario (either team winning) produces the same YES resolution, violating basic binary market logic.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate markets covering moneyline (Bruins vs. Flyers winner) and five total goals thresholds (O/U 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes: moneyline resolves to either 'Bruins' or 'Flyers'; totals resolve to either 'Over' or 'Under' based on combined goals. All markets share consistent postponement and cancellation rules (remain open until completion; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup).
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.