This event group covers an NHL game between the Boston Bruins and Philadelphia Flyers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread betting (-1.5 goals), and multiple over/under total goals markets at different thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5).
Kalshi uses ambiguous "over X.5" phrasing while Polymarket provides explicit goal-count thresholds. Both platforms reference the same game and NHL.com as source, but the linguistic difference creates minor interpretation risk at boundary scores.
Hero Tip:
Align on Polymarket's explicit numeric thresholds: 5+ goals for 4.5 line, 6+ for 5.5, 7+ for 6.5, 8+ for 7.5. Kalshi's "over X.5" maps directly to these same values. Shootout rule is consistent: add 1 goal to winning team's score. Confirm final score from NHL.com within 1 hour of game end.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Five separate markets using "over X.5" language (over 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 total combined goals). Resolves to Yes if threshold exceeded. Language does not explicitly state whether 3.5 means >3.5 or >=4, creating minor ambiguity.
Polymarket: Four O/U markets with explicit goal counts: O/U 7.5 = 8+ goals Over; O/U 6.5 = 7+ goals Over; O/U 5.5 = 6+ goals Over; O/U 4.5 = 5+ goals Over. Unambiguous numeric thresholds. Also includes moneyline (Bruins vs Flyers winner) and spread markets (Bruins -1.5, Flyers -1.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.