TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
Volume:
$2,781,606
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 12, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET, the Boston Bruins face the Columbus Blue Jackets in an NHL game. Markets cover both the moneyline (match winner) and multiple over/under total goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5). Resolution depends on the final combined score across regulation, overtime, and shootout periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Bruins win OR Blue Jackets win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes for winner determination and provides coherent over/under and spread markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi winner market — it contains a fatal logical flaw that violates basic market design. Both teams cannot both be winners. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have proper mutually exclusive resolution paths for the moneyline and consistent logic across all derivative markets (spreads, totals).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If CBJ Blue Jackets wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If BOS Bruins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome (either team wins) resolves to YES, leaving no NO resolution path and making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's moneyline resolves to 'Bruins' if Bruins win and 'Blue Jackets' if Blue Jackets win, creating mutually exclusive outcomes. All derivative markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 and spreads at -1.5, -2.5, +1.5) are logically consistent with this binary structure and reference the same underlying game on April 12 at 6:00 PM ET with identical resolution rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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