TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
kalshi
polymarket

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC

Volume:
$422,939

Wellington Phoenix FC

 - Polymarket

Wellington Phoenix FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wellington Phoenix FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$151,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,968
N/A
N/A
$24,652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,585
N/A
N/A
$1,486
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brisbane Roar FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,067
N/A
N/A
$22,703
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
$2,769
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Brisbane Roar FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets resolve on total goals scored (over/under thresholds: 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket markets resolve on match outcome (Brisbane win, draw, Wellington win). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution logic and cannot be directly compared.Hero tip: Kalshi bettors are predicting goal volume; Polymarket bettors are predicting match outcome. A high-scoring Brisbane win satisfies Kalshi's over-goal markets but only Polymarket's Brisbane win market. Do not assume correlation between platforms—a YES on Kalshi (many goals) does not predict Polymarket outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on aggregate goal thresholds only. Four separate markets each resolve YES if Wellington and Brisbane collectively score more than 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals respectively. Resolution is binary per threshold: 'If Wellington and Brisbane collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on match outcome (three mutually exclusive markets: Brisbane win, draw, Wellington win). Each market resolves YES or NO based on the final score outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source is official A-League statistics: 'If Brisbane Roar FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.