TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC
Volume:
$671,932
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the A-League match between Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne City FC scheduled for April 18, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcome markets are offered: Brisbane Roar win, Melbourne City win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. The market resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Melbourne City wins, Brisbane wins, or Tie), which violates fundamental binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility: exactly one outcome must occur in a soccer match, but all three outcomes are marked as YES resolution conditions. This makes the market unresolvable and creates extreme settlement risk. Stick to Polymarket, which has three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Market 1 (Brisbane Win) resolves YES only if Brisbane wins; Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 (Melbourne City Win) resolves YES only if Melbourne City wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source is official A-League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all marked YES: 'If Melbourne City wins... resolves to Yes. If Brisbane wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it impossible to determine a definitive resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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