TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC

Volume:
$671,932

Melbourne City

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melbourne City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219,703
N/A
N/A
$107,060
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Melbourne City FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$184,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brisbane

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,643
N/A
N/A
$48,960
Settled
No
polymarket

Brisbane Roar FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,302
N/A
N/A
$41,660
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the A-League match between Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne City FC scheduled for April 18, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcome markets are offered: Brisbane Roar win, Melbourne City win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. The market resolves YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Melbourne City wins, Brisbane wins, or Tie), which violates fundamental binary market logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical impossibility: exactly one outcome must occur in a soccer match, but all three outcomes are marked as YES resolution conditions. This makes the market unresolvable and creates extreme settlement risk. Stick to Polymarket, which has three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic. Market 1 (Brisbane Win) resolves YES only if Brisbane wins; Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw; Market 3 (Melbourne City Win) resolves YES only if Melbourne City wins. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source is official A-League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions, all marked YES: 'If Melbourne City wins... resolves to Yes. If Brisbane wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it impossible to determine a definitive resolution state.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.