TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC
Volume:
$1,001,457
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the English Premier League match between Brighton & Hove Albion FC (home) and Nottingham Forest FC scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span win/loss outcomes, draws, and goal-margin thresholds across two platforms with differing scope and specificity.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets are goal-margin conditional (subset of match outcome), while Polymarket markets are simple outcome-based. Both use identical match scope (90 minutes + stoppage time, no extra time/penalties) and timing (March 1, 2026), but measure different settlement dimensions.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi and Polymarket markets as complementary products, not duplicates. A single match outcome (e.g., Brighton 2-0 Nottingham) will resolve Polymarket Brighton win to Yes, but only Kalshi Brighton >1.5 to Yes (not >2.5). Use Polymarket for directional exposure and Kalshi for margin-based hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: Brighton win (Yes/No), Nottingham win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No). Resolution is binary on match result only, independent of goal margin. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Four binary goal-margin markets: Brighton >1.5 goals, Brighton >2.5 goals, Nottingham >1.5 goals, Nottingham >2.5 goals. Resolution depends on both winner and margin. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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