This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Bradley Braves and Valparaiso Beacons scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and over/under totals at 142.5, 143.5, and 144.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Valparaiso win and Bradley win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not settle Kalshi moneyline market as written. Escalate to Kalshi support for clarification or treat as void. For all markets in this group, use Polymarket's resolution logic as the authoritative standard: final score determines winner; combined score determines over/under; point differential determines spread. If game is canceled with no makeup, resolve 50-50 on all Polymarket markets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Valparaiso wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bradley wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, violating binary market structure. Quote: 'If Valparaiso wins the Bradley at Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bradley wins the Bradley at Valparaiso men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Bradley win resolves to 'Bradley Braves', Valparaiso win resolves to 'Valparaiso Beacons'. Spread markets (-1.5, -2.5) resolve based on point differential thresholds. Over/under markets (142.5, 143.5, 144.5) resolve based on combined score. All markets include postponement continuance and 50-50 cancellation fallback. Quote: 'If the Bradley Braves win, the market will resolve to Bradley Braves. If the Valparaiso Beacons win, the market will resolve to Valparaiso Beacons.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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