This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Bradley Braves and Southern Illinois Salukis scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final winner of the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Bradley win and Southern Illinois win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-based resolution.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The second resolution condition must resolve to No, not Yes. Contact Kalshi support immediately to confirm the correct resolution logic before trading. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution. Bradley win resolves to Bradley Braves; Southern Illinois win resolves to Southern Illinois Salukis. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Bradley Braves win, the market will resolve to Bradley Braves. If the Southern Illinois Salukis win, the market will resolve to Southern Illinois Salukis.'
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. Both Bradley win and Southern Illinois win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Key quote: 'If Bradley wins...resolves to Yes. If Southern Illinois wins...resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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