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399,592

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30,097

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2,622

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5

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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
kalshi
polymarket

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets

Volume:
$965,756

Toledo

 - Kalshi

Toledo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 12, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toledo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$459,733
N/A
N/A
$352,761
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 151.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 150.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bowling Green

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$375,298
N/A
N/A
$256,546
Settled
No
polymarket

Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Bowling Green Falcons and Toledo Rockets scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals across multiple thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline contains logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve Yes), and Polymarket offers multiple over/under thresholds with different resolution points. Moneyline and spread logic are otherwise consistent across platforms.Hero tip: For moneyline trades: ignore Kalshi's contradictory dual-Yes language and treat as standard binary (one winner). For totals: identify which specific O/U line you are trading on Polymarket, as 151 combined points produces different outcomes across the three available thresholds (150.5, 151.5, 152.5). All markets include postponement carve-out and 50-50 cancellation clause.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline logic states both Bowling Green win and Toledo win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary game outcome. Likely a platform error or unclear wording. No over/under markets listed.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline and spread are standard and consistent. However, three separate O/U markets exist with different thresholds: O/U 150.5 (Over at 151+), O/U 151.5 (Over at 152+), O/U 152.5 (Over at 153+). A combined score of 151 resolves Under on 150.5 but Over on 151.5 and 152.5.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.