TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 - More Markets
Volume:
$434,017
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1. FSV Mainz 05 scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (win margins of 1.5, 2.5+ goals), over/under totals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 combined goals), and both-teams-to-score outcomes. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures for the same event. Polymarket offers directional spread markets (each team as favorite at specific thresholds) plus totals and BTTS, while Kalshi offers binary YES/NO markets for any team winning by specific margins. The resolution sources and time windows are consistent, but the market design creates different settlement value exposures.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you are betting on a specific team to cover a specific spread (e.g., Gladbach -1.5 means they win by 2+). On Kalshi, you are betting YES if ANY team wins by that margin (e.g., either team wins by 2.5+). Kalshi's binary structure means one outcome covers both teams; Polymarket's directional structure means you must pick a side. If you want exposure to a specific team covering, use Polymarket. If you want exposure to any large margin win, Kalshi's binary YES is broader.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers six directional spread markets (Gladbach -1.5, Mainz -1.5, Gladbach -2.5, Mainz -2.5), four totals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and one BTTS market. Each spread market is binary: one team must win by the stated margin for that team's outcome to resolve YES. Example: 'Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)' resolves YES only if Gladbach wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO. Resolution source is bundesliga.com official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Offers four binary YES/NO markets, each covering either team winning by a specific margin: (1) Mainz wins by 2.5+, (2) Gladbach wins by 2.5+, (3) Mainz wins by 1.5+, (4) Gladbach wins by 1.5+. Each market resolves YES if that specific condition is met, NO otherwise. No totals or BTTS markets listed. Resolution source is the official Bundesliga result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no explicit fallback clause stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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