TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce - Halftime Result
Volume:
$2,695
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Serie A soccer match between Bologna FC 1909 and US Lecce scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi ask whether Bologna wins, Lecce wins, or the match is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The core question is identical: which team (if any) is leading at the halftime whistle.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets with clear Yes/No logic per outcome. Kalshi presents three separate Yes/No markets that each resolve Yes for their condition, creating ambiguity about whether they are mutually exclusive or independent.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket's framework as the settlement standard: exactly one halftime outcome will occur. If using Kalshi, confirm with the platform whether the three markets are mutually exclusive (only one resolves Yes) or independent (multiple could resolve Yes). For cross-platform arbitrage, assume Polymarket's mutual exclusivity model.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering Bologna leading, Lecce leading, and Draw at halftime. Each resolves Yes only if that specific outcome occurs. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves No.
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No markets: Bologna wins first half, Lecce wins first half, Tie occurs. Each resolves Yes if its condition is met. The structure does not explicitly state mutual exclusivity, creating potential ambiguity about whether multiple markets could resolve Yes simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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