TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
polymarket
kalshi
Trending

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce

Volume:
$689,553
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and US Lecce.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 12, 2026, using the same primary source (official governing body statistics) and covering the same three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bologna win, Lecce win, or draw.

Primary resolution logic:

Official statistics from Lega Serie A (Italian professional soccer governing body) or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the outcome of the Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Bologna win (YES on Polymarket Q1 and Kalshi Q1), Lecce win (YES on Polymarket Q4 and Kalshi Q2), or draw (YES on Polymarket Q6 and Kalshi Q3).
  • Exactly one of the three outcomes will resolve YES across the group; the other two resolve NO.
  • If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Bologna and Lecce win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES (Polymarket) or NO (Kalshi) — see edge case.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation with No Make-Up: Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, while Kalshi's draw market (Q3) would resolve YES only if a draw actually occurs. This represents a minor divergence in cancellation handling: Polymarket treats cancellation as equivalent to a draw for that specific market, while Kalshi's three markets (Q1, Q2, Q3) are mutually exclusive outcomes and cancellation is not explicitly addressed. However, both platforms agree that Bologna and Lecce win markets resolve NO in a cancellation scenario.
  • Match Postponement: Both platforms keep all markets open if the match is postponed. Resolution is deferred until the match is actually completed.
  • Resolution Source Fallback: Both platforms use official Lega Serie A statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, both allow resolution via consensus of credible reporting.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on April 12, 2026. Official statistics must be published or consensus reporting established within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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