TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC
Volume:
$2,629,890
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Bologna FC 1909 and Hellas Verona FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (Bologna win, Verona win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three mutually exclusive outcome markets all resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Polymarket applies differentiated cancellation rules: win markets resolve No on cancellation, draw market resolves Yes. This is a data integrity and logical contradiction issue.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until clarification is obtained from Kalshi support. The statement that all three outcomes resolve Yes is mathematically impossible. For Polymarket, understand that cancellation protection is asymmetric: draw bettors are hedged, win bettors are not. Prioritize Polymarket for resolution clarity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each covering Bologna win, Verona win, or Tie. All three are stated to resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause. Logical flaw: only one outcome can occur, yet all three markets are marked Yes. Key Quote: 'If Bologna wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hellas Verona wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Bologna win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Verona win (Yes/No). Cancellation rule is asymmetric: Bologna and Verona win markets resolve No if canceled; Draw market resolves Yes if canceled. Primary source is official Lega Serie A statistics, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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