Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi resolve all markets based on the official final score from uefa.com for the Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC Europa League match on April 9, 2026, counting only goals scored within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA statistics published on uefa.com; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Bologna -2.5, Bologna -1.5, Aston Villa -1.5, Aston Villa -2.5) resolve based on the goal differential: the named team must win by the specified margin or greater to resolve YES; otherwise NO.
Over/Under markets (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve YES if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold (2, 3, 4, or 5 respectively); otherwise NO.
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if both Bologna and Aston Villa each score at least one goal; NO if either team scores zero.
All markets count only goals in regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled with no make-up game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets in the group resolve 50-50.
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution is based on the official final score as published by UEFA at the time of abandonment.
Delayed Official Statistics: If UEFA does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score by UEFA on uefa.com, or within 2 hours post-match via credible reporting consensus if UEFA statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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