TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma - Halftime Result
Volume:
$10,930
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Serie A game between Bologna FC 1909 and AS Roma, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Roma win, Bologna win, or Draw), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a meaningful prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely. On Polymarket, you can take directional bets on individual halftime outcomes (Roma leading, Bologna leading, or Draw), where exactly one will resolve YES and the others NO. Kalshi's market will always resolve YES regardless of the actual result, making it worthless for prediction or hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single outcome: Roma leading at halftime resolves YES only if Roma is ahead; Bologna leading resolves YES only if Bologna is ahead; Draw resolves YES only if the score is tied. Exactly one of the three will resolve YES. Quote: 'If AS Roma wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Single market with three conditional statements, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes' for Roma winner, Tie, or Bologna winner. This creates a logical OR condition where the market resolves YES if any of the three outcomes occurs, which is guaranteed to happen. Quote: 'If Roma is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bologna is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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