This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Boise State Broncos and Wyoming Cowboys scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable as stated. Both possible game outcomes (Boise State win or Wyoming win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no path to a No resolution. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution with team-specific outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is clarified with the platform. The market cannot function as written because every possible game outcome resolves identically. Polymarket's structure is standard and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, request clarification on whether this is a data error or if the market should resolve based on a different criterion (e.g., game completion vs. specific team victory).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where both Boise State victory and Wyoming victory resolve to Yes. No logical path to No resolution. Quote: 'If Boise St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyoming wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical winner-pick structure resolving to team name. Boise State win = 'Boise State Broncos', Wyoming win = 'Wyoming Cowboys'. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Quote: 'If the Boise State Broncos win, the market will resolve to "Boise State Broncos". If the Wyoming Cowboys win, the market will resolve to "Wyoming Cowboys".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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