TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET

Volume:
$1,601

BNB Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 5, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 5, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$489.99 or below

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$490 to 494.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$495 to 499.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$500 to 504.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$505 to 509.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$575 to 579.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$580 to 584.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$585 to 589.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$600 to 604.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on April 5, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Two prediction platforms have created markets around this event, but they use fundamentally different data sources and measurement methodologies to determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible data sources (Binance spot 1H candle vs CF Benchmarks 60-second RTI average), incompatible time windows (1-hour candle vs 60-second snapshot), and Kalshi's resolution logic appears structurally broken (all price buckets resolve to Yes, eliminating binary resolution).Hero tip: Treat these as separate, non-correlated markets. Polymarket is a standard directional bet on BNB/USDT hourly candle direction. Kalshi's market structure is suspect—verify with the platform that all 40 price conditions truly resolve to Yes before committing capital. If confirmed, Kalshi's market is not a directional price bet and should not be hedged against Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market. Resolves Up if BNB/USDT 1-hour candle close >= open at 5 PM ET on April 5, 2026. Uses Binance official BNB/USDT pair. Data source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT. Key Quote: 'The close C and open O displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Price bucket market with 40 conditions, all resolving to Yes. Measures simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on April 5, 2026. Covers price range <$490 to >$679.99 in $5 increments. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is [any price range]... then the market resolves to Yes.' (All 40 conditions identical outcome.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.