TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
BNB Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET

Volume:
$3,844

$510 to 514.99

 - Kalshi

$510 to 514.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,180
N/A
N/A
$3,180
Settled
No
kalshi

$509.99 or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

$690 to 694.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 12, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$695 to 699.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$700 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$575 to 579.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$580 to 584.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$585 to 589.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$600 to 604.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$605 to 609.99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

These markets track whether BNB/USDT will close higher than or equal to its opening price during a specific 1-hour candle on April 12, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses Binance's 1H candle close vs. open comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' 60-second average price at the exact timestamp across 28 discrete price bands.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use different resolution mechanics (directional vs. price-band) and different data sources (Binance 1H candle vs. CF Benchmarks 60-second average). The markets are not logically equivalent and may resolve differently.Hero tip: Treat these as two separate markets with different payoff structures. Polymarket pays on direction (Up/Down); Kalshi pays on price level (Yes if in any band). A Binance 1H candle that closes up could still resolve No on Kalshi if the CF Benchmarks average lands outside all 28 bands (unlikely but possible). Cross-platform arbitrage requires careful price reconciliation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary directional market. Resolves Up if BNB/USDT 1H candle close >= open on Binance at 5 PM ET April 12. Resolves Down otherwise. Data source: Binance BNB/USDT pair, 1H candle close and open prices displayed on chart.
  • Kalshi: Price-band market. Resolves Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average before 5 PM EDT falls into any of 28 predefined $5 price ranges ($510-$700+). Resolves No if price falls outside all bands. Data source: CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI real-time index.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.