TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blues vs. Blackhawks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 11 at 5:00PM ET: If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on goal-differential thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins) regardless of winner, while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. These are fundamentally different resolution dimensions.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on margin of victory thresholds, not on who wins. On Polymarket, you are betting on the winner and total goals. A Blues win by exactly 1 goal resolves YES on Polymarket (Blues moneyline) but NO on Kalshi (fails all margin thresholds). Ensure your position matches your intended outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins by a specified goal margin (1.5+ or 2.5+), making the market outcome dependent solely on margin of victory, not on team identity. Key quote: 'If Chicago wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner (Blues vs. Blackhawks) and total goals scored (Over/Under thresholds at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), independent of margin magnitude. Key quote: 'If the Blues win, the market will resolve to Blues. If the Blackhawks win, the market will resolve to Blackhawks' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blues and Blackhawks combine to score 5 or more goals.'
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