TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blues vs. Avalanche
Volume:
$2,247,530
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 5, 2025 at 9:30 PM ET, the St. Louis Blues face the Colorado Avalanche in an NHL regular season game. Markets across platforms are pricing outcomes on both the moneyline (match winner) and total goals scored (over/under at multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5). All resolution determinations will include overtime and shootout play, with shootout victories adding one goal to the winning team's final tally.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on win-margin thresholds (spread-based outcomes), while Polymarket settles on combined total goals (over/under) and moneyline winner. These represent fundamentally different event types: Kalshi measures margin of victory, Polymarket measures total scoring volume and match winner.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are predicting whether one team wins by a specific margin (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals). If you bet on Polymarket, you are predicting either the total combined goals scored (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, or 7.5 threshold) or which team wins outright. A Kalshi YES outcome does not guarantee a Polymarket Over outcome, and vice versa. For example, a 3-1 Avalanche win resolves YES on Kalshi's Avalanche -1.5 spread but may resolve Under on Polymarket's O/U 5.5 (only 4 combined goals).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves based on win margin thresholds only. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals; otherwise they resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on three independent dimensions: combined total goals (four separate O/U markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), moneyline winner (Blues vs. Avalanche), and spread (Avalanche -1.5). Each market type uses different resolution logic. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blues and Avalanche combine to score 6 or more goals' (O/U 5.5) and 'If the Blues win, the market will resolve to Blues' (moneyline).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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