TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Blackhawks vs. Oilers
Description
On April 2, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Chicago Blackhawks and Edmonton Oilers will compete in an NHL regular season game. Markets cover three outcome categories: (1) moneyline winner (Blackhawks vs. Oilers), and (2) total combined goals across multiple over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 on Polymarket; 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 on Kalshi). All resolutions depend on the final official NHL score, including overtime and shootout adjustments.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi offers markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals, while Polymarket covers only 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 goals, creating different settlement granularity and coverage.Hero Tip:
If you trade Kalshi's 2.5 or 3.5 over markets, you have no direct hedge on Polymarket. Conversely, Polymarket's moneyline and spread markets have no Kalshi equivalent. Ensure your position aligns with the specific platform's threshold if you plan to arbitrage or hedge across both.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 combined goals. Each market resolves YES if the combined total exceeds that threshold. No moneyline or spread markets are present. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes' through 'If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four over/under markets at thresholds 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 combined goals, plus a moneyline market (Blackhawks vs. Oilers winner) and a spread market (Oilers -1.5). Over markets resolve YES if combined goals meet or exceed the stated threshold plus one. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Blackhawks and Oilers combine to score 5 or more goals' (for O/U 4.5) and 'This market will resolve to Oilers if the Oilers win the game by 2 or more goals' (for spread).
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