TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET

Volume:
$3,220,247

$65,900 or above

 - Kalshi

$65,900 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 28, 2026

Closed: Mar 27, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$65,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$542,341
N/A
N/A
$128,482
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$314,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$195,098
N/A
N/A
$102,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,092
N/A
N/A
$51,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,379
N/A
N/A
$29,672
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,431
N/A
N/A
$11,893
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,548
N/A
N/A
$10,741
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,282
N/A
N/A
$12,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,804
N/A
N/A
$7,249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,756
N/A
N/A
$7,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,690
N/A
N/A
$9,595
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,169
N/A
N/A
$6,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,855
N/A
N/A
$5,489
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,660
N/A
N/A
$4,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58,900 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,474
N/A
N/A
$3,829
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,377
N/A
N/A
$3,847
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61,400 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,620
N/A
N/A
$1,481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$66,400 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$284,548
N/A
N/A
$134,336
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,400 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194,782
N/A
N/A
$68,737
Settled
No
kalshi

$70,900 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,303
N/A
N/A
$43,784
Settled
No
kalshi

$67,400 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162,886
N/A
N/A
$73,892
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,900 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,899
N/A
N/A
$62,419
Settled
No
kalshi

$66,900 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,037
N/A
N/A
$78,958
Settled
No
kalshi

$67,900 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,021
N/A
N/A
$71,381
Settled
No
kalshi

$68,400 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121,480
N/A
N/A
$48,446
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different resolution sources, timing windows, and settlement values. Polymarket resolves based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle open/close comparison, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) 60-second average with 47 distinct price thresholds, creating incompatible outcomes.Hero tip: These markets will almost certainly resolve differently. Polymarket is a simple binary (Up if close >= open, Down otherwise) on Binance data. Kalshi has 47 separate Yes/No markets each tied to different BRTI thresholds—your position on one Kalshi market may resolve Yes while another resolves No, and neither outcome may match Polymarket's result. Do not assume arbitrage; verify which platform's source and logic matches your actual price expectation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle comparison—Yes (Up) if close price >= open price for the 1H candle beginning at 5 PM ET on March 27, No (Down) otherwise. Uses a single binary outcome tied to one exchange pair. Key quote: 'The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Resolves via 47 separate Yes/No markets, each comparing the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT against a unique price threshold (ranging from 58399.99 to 82899.99). Each market resolves Yes if BRTI average exceeds its threshold, No otherwise. Key quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.