TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Maine Black Bears (W)
Volume:
$17,398
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Binghamton Bearcats and Maine Black Bears scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology where both possible game outcomes (Maine win or Binghamton win) resolve to Yes, eliminating binary differentiation and making the market unresolvable as a meaningful prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent and will resolve to Yes regardless of the actual game result, destroying price integrity and making it impossible to profit from accurate predictions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Binghamton win resolves to Binghamton Bearcats, Maine win resolves to Maine Black Bears. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: Both Maine win and Binghamton win conditions resolve to Yes, creating a tautology. Any game outcome produces Yes resolution, eliminating meaningful market differentiation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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