TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers
Volume:
$7,380,489
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Belmont Bruins and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Murray St. win and Belmont win) resolve to Yes, making it unresolvable. Polymarket has a timing inconsistency between moneyline (3:00 PM ET) and spread/totals (6:00 PM ET), creating ambiguity about which timestamp governs resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is unresolvable. For Polymarket markets, verify the actual game start time independently. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spread, totals) should resolve based on the final score whenever the game concludes, regardless of the stated reference times. If game is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, all Polymarket markets resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has a logical contradiction: both Murray St. win and Belmont win are stated to resolve to Yes. This makes the market unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If Murray St. wins the Belmont at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Belmont wins the Belmont at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Belmont Bruins or Murray State Racers) with clear binary logic. Spread and totals markets are well-defined but reference 6:00 PM ET, while moneyline references 3:00 PM ET. All markets include 50-50 resolution if game is canceled with no makeup. Key Quote for moneyline: 'If the Belmont Bruins win, the market will resolve to Belmont Bruins. If the Murray State Racers win, the market will resolve to Murray State Racers.' Key Quote for spread/totals: 'scheduled for February 15 at 6:00 PM ET.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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