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402,751

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2,632

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5

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Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers
kalshi
polymarket

Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers

Volume:
$7,380,489

Belmont

 - Kalshi

Belmont - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belmont

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,186,738
$4,148,873
N/A
N/A
$2,005,614
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Murray St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,191,703
$2,998,799
N/A
N/A
$1,627,814
Settled
No
polymarket

Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racers

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$157,053
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,643
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,793
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 167.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,646
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 166.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,753
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 165.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$930
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A men's college basketball game between Belmont Bruins and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points over/under at multiple thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Murray St. win and Belmont win) resolve to Yes, making it unresolvable. Polymarket has a timing inconsistency between moneyline (3:00 PM ET) and spread/totals (6:00 PM ET), creating ambiguity about which timestamp governs resolution.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline—it is unresolvable. For Polymarket markets, verify the actual game start time independently. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spread, totals) should resolve based on the final score whenever the game concludes, regardless of the stated reference times. If game is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, all Polymarket markets resolve 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has a logical contradiction: both Murray St. win and Belmont win are stated to resolve to Yes. This makes the market unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If Murray St. wins the Belmont at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Belmont wins the Belmont at Murray St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Belmont Bruins or Murray State Racers) with clear binary logic. Spread and totals markets are well-defined but reference 6:00 PM ET, while moneyline references 3:00 PM ET. All markets include 50-50 resolution if game is canceled with no makeup. Key Quote for moneyline: 'If the Belmont Bruins win, the market will resolve to Belmont Bruins. If the Murray State Racers win, the market will resolve to Murray State Racers.' Key Quote for spread/totals: 'scheduled for February 15 at 6:00 PM ET.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.