TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Belgium vs. IR Iran
Total volume:
$5,648
Volume 24h:
$537
41%
Liquidity:
$11,816
7%
Open interest:
$4,982
12%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Sunday, June 21, 2026 between Belgium and IR Iran.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result handling differs across platforms. Polymarket and Predict resolve draw markets to YES on complete cancellation, while win markets resolve to NO. Limitless applies a deadline-based rule (July 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC) where non-completion triggers NO for wins but YES for draw. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any match postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup, draw positions on Polymarket and Predict will resolve YES, while Belgium and Iran win positions resolve NO. On Limitless, the same scenario triggers NO for wins and YES for draw. Kalshi's behavior is undefined; contact support. For normal match completion, all platforms align on 90+stoppage time as the resolution window.Critical Divergence Points:
- Limitless: Win markets (Belgium/Iran) resolve NO if match not completed with official result by July 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match not completed by deadline OR ends in draw. Key quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.' and 'This market will resolve to YES if the match specified in the title ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 21, 2026, 19:00 UTC.'
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Belgium win, Iran win, Tie) resolve YES only if that outcome occurs after 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or no-result clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Belgium vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Belgium and Iran win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup game. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup game. Win markets remain open if postponed. Key quote for wins: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Key quote for draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Belgium and Iran win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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