This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball matchup between BC Dubai and AS Monaco scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this single game.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a fundamental contradiction: both possible outcomes (Dubai win and Monaco win) are mapped to Yes, rendering the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winning team name or 50-50 on cancellation.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written. Do not trade on Kalshi. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event. Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a documentation error before placing any bets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Resolves to Yes for both Dubai win and Monaco win outcomes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between the two teams. Quote: 'If Dubai Basketball wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If AS Monaco wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team (BC Dubai or Monaco), with 50-50 split on full cancellation. Postponements keep market open. Quote: 'If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to BC Dubai. If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to Monaco.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.