TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats
Volume:
$491,329
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-3.5 and -4.5), and over/under totals (158.5 through 177.5 points) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under total points threshold interpretation differs between platforms. Kalshi uses strict inequality (score > threshold), while Polymarket uses inclusive rounding (score >= stated integer). This creates a 1-point ambiguity zone for certain combined scores.Hero Tip:
When the combined final score lands near a threshold (e.g., 160, 162, 159), cross-check the exact wording on each platform. Kalshi's 159.5 market requires combined score of at least 160 to resolve Yes. Polymarket's 159.5 market requires 160 or more. These align, but Kalshi's 158.5 requires 159+ while Polymarket's 158.5 also requires 159+. The critical divergence is in how each platform rounds and states thresholds—always verify the official final score from NCAA.com.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 12 over/under markets on combined team points. Each uses the format 'over X.5 total points' and resolves Yes if combined score is strictly greater than X.5 (i.e., ≥ X+1 as an integer). Thresholds: 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5, 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5. Key quote: 'If Baylor and Kansas St. collectively score over 165.5 total points...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: 3 over/under markets on combined team points. O/U 161.5 resolves Over at 162+; O/U 159.5 resolves Over at 160+; O/U 158.5 resolves Over at 159+. These use inclusive integer thresholds. Moneyline and two spread markets (-3.5 and -4.5) are also present. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats combine to score 162 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.