TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Volume:
$491,329

Over 159.5 points scored

 - Kalshi

Over 159.5 points scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 18, 2026

Baylor at Kansas St.: Total Points

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 159.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$40,604
$113,697
0%
0%
$76,330
N/A
kalshi

Over 156.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$39,872
$83,198
0%
0%
$46,254
N/A
kalshi

Over 153.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$20,777
$42,026
0%
0%
$13,149
N/A
kalshi

Over 162.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$42,480
$39,038
0%
0%
$30,156
N/A
polymarket

O/U 159.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,055
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 150.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3,441
$13,751
0%
0%
$5,401
N/A
kalshi

Over 147.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$3,111
$7,784
0%
0%
$4,211
N/A
polymarket

O/U 161.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,722
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 158.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 144.5 points scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,581
$302
0%
0%
$301
N/A
polymarket

Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,034
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,031
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 165.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$40,738
$16,660
0%
0%
$13,798
N/A
kalshi

Over 168.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$38,524
$10,611
0%
0%
$9,936
N/A
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,429
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Over 171.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$37,680
$4,233
0%
0%
$4,129
N/A
kalshi

Over 177.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$18,664
$4,105
0%
0%
$2,915
N/A
kalshi

Over 174.5 points scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$35,877
$334
0%
0%
$314
N/A
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-3.5 and -4.5), and over/under totals (158.5 through 177.5 points) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Over/Under total points threshold interpretation differs between platforms. Kalshi uses strict inequality (score > threshold), while Polymarket uses inclusive rounding (score >= stated integer). This creates a 1-point ambiguity zone for certain combined scores.Hero tip: When the combined final score lands near a threshold (e.g., 160, 162, 159), cross-check the exact wording on each platform. Kalshi's 159.5 market requires combined score of at least 160 to resolve Yes. Polymarket's 159.5 market requires 160 or more. These align, but Kalshi's 158.5 requires 159+ while Polymarket's 158.5 also requires 159+. The critical divergence is in how each platform rounds and states thresholds—always verify the official final score from NCAA.com.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 12 over/under markets on combined team points. Each uses the format 'over X.5 total points' and resolves Yes if combined score is strictly greater than X.5 (i.e., ≥ X+1 as an integer). Thresholds: 144.5, 147.5, 150.5, 153.5, 156.5, 159.5, 162.5, 165.5, 168.5, 171.5, 174.5, 177.5. Key quote: 'If Baylor and Kansas St. collectively score over 165.5 total points...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: 3 over/under markets on combined team points. O/U 161.5 resolves Over at 162+; O/U 159.5 resolves Over at 160+; O/U 158.5 resolves Over at 159+. These use inclusive integer thresholds. Moneyline and two spread markets (-3.5 and -4.5) are also present. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Baylor Bears and Kansas State Wildcats combine to score 162 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.