TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Volume:
$6,417,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Arizona State Sun Devils scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5), and over/under totals (152.5, 153.5, 154.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Baylor win and Arizona State win resolve to Yes, leaving the No resolution condition undefined and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely due to the logical flaw. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils) as the authoritative winner determination. For spread and total markets, both platforms are consistent: use final score including overtime, and apply 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled with no makeup date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Baylor win and Arizona State win resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable contradiction. No condition for a No resolution is specified. Quote: 'If Baylor wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market cleanly resolves to Baylor Bears if Baylor wins, Arizona State Sun Devils if Arizona State wins. Spread and total markets include explicit 50-50 cancellation clause. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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