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24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München
polymarket
kalshi

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München

Volume:
$3,980,363

FC Bayern München

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 22, 2026

Closed: Apr 22, 2:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Bayern München

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,707,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$642,705
N/A
N/A
$427,012
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$322,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204,587
N/A
N/A
$119,856
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,469
N/A
N/A
$44,825
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (draw, Leverkusen win, Bayern win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves YES for any outcome (win, tie, or loss), making it logically incoherent as a prediction market.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it resolves YES regardless of the match result, making it unhedgeable and unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three markets to express any view on the match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes: (1) Draw resolves YES if match ends 0-0 or is canceled with no makeup; (2) Leverkusen win resolves YES only if Leverkusen wins in 90+stoppage minutes; (3) Bayern win resolves YES only if Bayern wins in 90+stoppage minutes. Exactly one will resolve YES. Resolution source: official DFB statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match end.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution clauses: resolves YES if Bayern wins, resolves YES if tie occurs, or resolves YES if Leverkusen wins. This creates a logical contradiction—the market resolves YES for all possible match outcomes, rendering it non-functional as a prediction instrument. Quote: 'If Bayern Munich wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leverkusen wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.