TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Basket Zaragoza vs. Valencia
Total volume:
$649
Volume 24h:
$0
0%
Liquidity:
$2
86%
Open interest:
$247
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Basket Zaragoza 2002 and Valencia Basket scheduled for May 13, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Zaragoza win and Valencia win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and violating binary market principles.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected market structure. The current logic cannot produce a meaningful settlement. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable. Monitor for Kalshi clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports resolution with clear outcome mapping. Zaragoza victory resolves to 'Basket Zaragoza', Valencia victory resolves to 'Valencia'. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Result determined by final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/Yes structure. Both 'If Basket Zaragoza 2002 wins' and 'If Valencia Basket wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No No outcome is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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