TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ball State Cardinals vs. Toledo Rockets (W)
Volume:
$62,904
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Ball State Cardinals and Toledo Rockets scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolution criteria is logically contradictory, stating both possible outcomes (Toledo win and Ball State win) resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary event and renders the market fundamentally unresolvable as documented.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. The resolution logic as stated cannot function. Before trading on Kalshi, contact support to confirm the actual resolution rules. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is clear and tradeable. Do not assume Kalshi will mirror Polymarket without explicit confirmation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Ball State win resolves to Ball State Cardinals, Toledo win resolves to Toledo Rockets. Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent: states both If Toledo wins then Yes AND If Ball St. wins then Yes, making both outcomes resolve identically. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper binary resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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