TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Avispa Fukuoka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima - More Markets

Volume:
$188,400

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55,547
N/A
N/A
$35,402
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Avispa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,401
N/A
N/A
$44,146
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,365
N/A
N/A
$25,982
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 12

Description

More markets for the J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for April 29 at 1:00 AM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match-result market contains a logical tautology—it resolves Yes for Avispa win, Hiroshima win, OR tie, meaning it will always resolve Yes unless the game is canceled. This is fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket's binary spread markets and makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as a true prediction instrument.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi's match-result market until clarification is provided. Polymarket's spread and over/under markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. If you hold Kalshi positions, request explicit confirmation of whether the market is intended as a three-way categorical or if one or more outcomes should resolve No.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All markets (spreads, totals, BTTS) resolve based on official jleague.jp final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Spread markets are binary: Avispa -1.5 resolves Yes only if Avispa wins by exactly 2+ goals, otherwise No. Cancellation = 50-50 split. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Avispa Fukuoka if Avispa Fukuoka win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Sanfrecce Hiroshima.'
  • Kalshi: Match-result market states: 'If Hiroshima wins... then Yes. If Tie wins... then Yes. If Avispa wins... then Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where all possible match outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market non-predictive and unresolvable as a binary instrument. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.