TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Nagoya Grampus
Volume:
$53,131
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a J1 League soccer match between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: a draw, a Nagoya Grampus win, and an Avispa Fukuoka win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three platforms (Polymarket draw, Polymarket Nagoya win, Polymarket Avispa win, and Kalshi tie/Nagoya/Avispa outcomes) apply identical resolution logic: official J1 League match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official J1 League statistics (jleague.jp); fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; No if either team wins.
- Nagoya Grampus win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Nagoya wins; No otherwise.
- Avispa Fukuoka win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Avispa wins; No otherwise.
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for the outcome that occurs: Tie, Nagoya win, or Avispa win.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, draw/tie markets resolve Yes and team-win markets resolve No.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed.
- Cancellation without makeup: Draw/tie markets resolve Yes; team-win markets resolve No.
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution considers only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
- Official statistics delay: If J1 League does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 7, 2026, with official statistics published by J1 League or credible reporting consensus established within 2 hours post-match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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