TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Austria vs. Ghana
Volume:
$577,213
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, March 27, 2026 between Austria and Ghana.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three separate binary markets (one for each outcome: Ghana win, Austria win, Tie), each resolving YES if that outcome occurs. Polymarket presents three separate binary markets (Austria win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Ghana win YES/NO), each resolving based on the actual match outcome. The fundamental difference is that Kalshi's structure implies all three markets resolve YES simultaneously if their respective outcomes occur, while Polymarket's structure ensures exactly one outcome resolves YES and the others resolve NO.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, understand that you are betting on whether a specific outcome occurs—all three Kalshi markets can resolve YES if their conditions are met. On Polymarket, the three markets are mutually exclusive: exactly one will resolve YES and two will resolve NO. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket payouts are equivalent; Kalshi's structure allows multiple YES resolutions across its three markets, while Polymarket's does not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers three independent binary markets, each resolving YES if its named outcome (Ghana win, Austria win, or Tie) occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. All three markets can theoretically resolve YES simultaneously depending on the match result. Key quote: 'If Ghana wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Austria wins... then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Austria win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Ghana win YES/NO), each resolving based on the actual match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Exactly one outcome will resolve YES; the other two will resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Austria wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' / 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' / 'If Ghana wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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