A college basketball game between Austin Peay Governors and Jacksonville Dolphins scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Jacksonville win and Austin Peay win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until this contradiction is corrected. Polymarket markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. Contact Kalshi support to report the market specification error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Six distinct markets covering moneyline, three spread variations (-7.5, -6.5), and three over/under totals (141.5, 140.5, 142.5). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Postponement keeps market open. Logically consistent and resolvable.
Kalshi: Single moneyline market with critical logical error: both Jacksonville win and Austin Peay win are specified to resolve to Yes. This creates a contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes, making settlement impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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