TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC
Volume:
$701,085
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Austin win, Draw, Los Angeles win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES-resolution markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent payoffs. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (standard match outcome). On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES for any match result, making Kalshi's markets logically incoherent and potentially unresolvable. Clarify Kalshi's intent with the platform before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome (Austin win, Draw, or Los Angeles win) determines which single market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Austin market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If Los Angeles FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Los Angeles market).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three independent markets, each with a single YES resolution condition that does not exclude the others. All three markets state 'then the market resolves to Yes' for their respective outcomes (Tie, Austin, Los Angeles), implying all three resolve YES simultaneously when the match concludes, regardless of result. This creates a logical impossibility: a match cannot simultaneously end in a tie, an Austin win, and a Los Angeles win.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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