TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC
polymarket
kalshi

Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC

Volume:
$701,085

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,624
N/A
N/A
$42,690
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Angeles F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308,931
N/A
N/A
$218,778
Settled
No
polymarket

Los Angeles FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$222,309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,029
N/A
N/A
$48,246
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Austin win, Draw, Los Angeles win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent YES-resolution markets that all resolve YES simultaneously regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent payoffs. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (standard match outcome). On Kalshi, all three markets resolve YES for any match result, making Kalshi's markets logically incoherent and potentially unresolvable. Clarify Kalshi's intent with the platform before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where the match outcome (Austin win, Draw, or Los Angeles win) determines which single market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Austin FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Austin market); 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Draw market); 'If Los Angeles FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (Los Angeles market).
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three independent markets, each with a single YES resolution condition that does not exclude the others. All three markets state 'then the market resolves to Yes' for their respective outcomes (Tie, Austin, Los Angeles), implying all three resolve YES simultaneously when the match concludes, regardless of result. This creates a logical impossibility: a match cannot simultaneously end in a tie, an Austin win, and a Los Angeles win.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.