TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC
kalshi
polymarket

Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC

Volume:
$184,283

Macarthur FC

 - Polymarket

Macarthur FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Macarthur FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,863
N/A
N/A
$3,101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,491
N/A
N/A
$1,481
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Auckland FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,834
N/A
N/A
$2,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,508
N/A
N/A
$3,130
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Auckland FC and Macarthur FC scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with differing resolution scopes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi measure different resolution dimensions (match outcome vs. total goals) and Polymarket contains a logical inconsistency in its cancellation clause for the Draw market versus Win/Loss markets.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets will move in lockstep. A 2-2 draw resolves Polymarket Draw to Yes and Kalshi Over 3.5 to Yes, but Kalshi Over 4.5 to No. If the match is canceled without makeup, Polymarket Draw resolves Yes while Auckland/Macarthur Win markets resolve No - creating a contradiction. Monitor official A-League communications for postponement or cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Auckland Win, Draw, Macarthur Win) resolving on 90 min + stoppage time. Cancellation without makeup: Win/Loss markets resolve No, but Draw market resolves Yes. Primary source is official A-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
  • Kalshi: Four independent total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) all covering 90 min + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Each market resolves Yes if collective goals exceed the stated threshold, No otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.