TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Auckland FC vs. Macarthur FC
Volume:
$184,283
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Auckland FC and Macarthur FC scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms with differing resolution scopes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi measure different resolution dimensions (match outcome vs. total goals) and Polymarket contains a logical inconsistency in its cancellation clause for the Draw market versus Win/Loss markets.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets will move in lockstep. A 2-2 draw resolves Polymarket Draw to Yes and Kalshi Over 3.5 to Yes, but Kalshi Over 4.5 to No. If the match is canceled without makeup, Polymarket Draw resolves Yes while Auckland/Macarthur Win markets resolve No - creating a contradiction. Monitor official A-League communications for postponement or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Auckland Win, Draw, Macarthur Win) resolving on 90 min + stoppage time. Cancellation without makeup: Win/Loss markets resolve No, but Draw market resolves Yes. Primary source is official A-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Four independent total goals markets (Over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) all covering 90 min + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Each market resolves Yes if collective goals exceed the stated threshold, No otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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