This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Auburn Tigers and Missouri Tigers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: it states both Auburn win and Missouri win resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single-outcome game. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Request clarification from Kalshi before trading. The market structure appears to have a data entry error. Polymarket's binary structure is logically sound and should be treated as the reference resolution framework.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Auburn Tigers win resolves to Auburn Tigers; Missouri Tigers win resolves to Missouri Tigers. Includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation with no makeup (50-50 split). Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi: States both outcomes resolve to Yes: If Missouri wins, resolves Yes. If Auburn wins, resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where a single game cannot produce two Yes outcomes simultaneously.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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