TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Auburn Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Volume:
$1,972,019
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Auburn Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread outcomes at two thresholds (-7.5 and -8.5), and total points over/under at two levels (164.5 and 165.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Auburn win and Arkansas win conditions are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline uses standard binary logic with no contradiction.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. For moneyline exposure, use Polymarket only. Spread and total markets on both platforms are consistent and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical error: both 'If Auburn wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Arkansas wins...resolves to Yes' are stated, creating an impossible outcome where any result triggers Yes. This contradicts standard binary market design.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Auburn Tigers or Arkansas Razorbacks based on winner. Spread markets (-7.5 and -8.5) resolve based on margin of victory. Total markets (164.5 and 165.5) resolve based on combined score. All include postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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