TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC
Volume:
$315,727
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Liga MX professional soccer match between Atlético San Luis and Mazatlán FC scheduled for March 3, 2026. The markets ask whether San Luis will win, Mazatlán will win, or the match will end in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market logic is logically contradictory (all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes), and Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group—the resolution logic violates basic logical consistency. Polymarket markets are resolvable but require careful attention to the cancellation clause: if the game is canceled with no makeup, the Draw market resolves Yes while both Win markets resolve No. This creates an asymmetric payout structure on cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: San Luis Win (Yes if San Luis wins, No otherwise or if canceled); Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled, No otherwise); Mazatlán Win (Yes if Mazatlán wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Explicit cancellation clause differentiates Draw from Win outcomes. Key Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' while Win markets state 'this market will resolve "No"'.
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as mutually exclusive outcomes (Mazatlán win, Tie, San Luis win), but all three resolution conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes'—logically impossible. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: All three market conditions end with 'then the market resolves to Yes', making simultaneous resolution of mutually exclusive outcomes impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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