TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca
kalshi
polymarket

Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca

Volume:
$253,656

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,792
N/A
N/A
$21,629
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pachuca

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,522
N/A
N/A
$67,271
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Pachuca

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,499
N/A
N/A
$34,870
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlético San Luis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Liga MX soccer match between Atlético San Luis and CF Pachuca scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track whether San Luis wins, Pachuca wins, or the match ends in a draw, all resolved on the basis of the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs across platforms. Kalshi implicitly assumes game completion; Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation with platform-specific outcomes (No for win markets, Yes for draw market).Hero tip: Monitor Liga MX schedule for postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs with no makeup, Polymarket draw market pays Yes while win markets pay No—creating a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Kalshi markets would require clarification from the platform on cancellation protocol.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: San Luis win (Yes if San Luis wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled, No otherwise), Pachuca win (Yes if Pachuca wins, No otherwise or if canceled). All scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes [for draw] or No [for win markets].
  • Kalshi: Three markets presented as mutually exclusive outcomes: Tie, Pachuca win, San Luis win. Each resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Key Quote: If Tie wins... If Pachuca wins... If San Luis wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.