TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atlas FC vs. Querétaro FC
Volume:
$106,315
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Atlas FC and Querétaro FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket settles on three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Atlas win, draw, Querétaro win) covering all possible match results, while Kalshi settles on four independent goal-margin thresholds that can overlap or leave gaps depending on the final score.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Atlas wins 3–0, both 'Atlas wins by >1.5' and 'Atlas wins by >2.5' resolve YES), or none may resolve YES (e.g., if Atlas wins 1–0). Do not assume Kalshi markets partition the outcome space the way Polymarket does.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets that partition all possible match outcomes. Each market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: 'Atlas wins' resolves YES only if Atlas scores more goals, 'Draw' resolves YES only if both teams score equally, and 'Querétaro wins' resolves YES only if Querétaro scores more goals. Exactly one will resolve YES. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers four independent goal-margin threshold markets that do not partition the outcome space. Markets resolve YES if specific margin thresholds are met (Querétaro >2.5, Querétaro >1.5, Atlas >1.5, Atlas >2.5) but do not cover all possible scores. For example, a 1–0 Atlas win triggers only the '>1.5' market; a 1–1 draw triggers none. Key quote: 'If Queretaro wins by more than 2.5 goals... If Atlas wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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