TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana
kalshi
polymarket

Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana

Volume:
$220,749

Atlas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atlas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104,575
N/A
N/A
$100,744
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Atlas FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,825
N/A
N/A
$66,388
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Tijuana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,081
N/A
N/A
$11,949
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers three related prediction markets on the March 4, 2026 Liga MX soccer match between Atlas FC and Club Tijuana. Markets predict whether Atlas wins, Tijuana wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly assigns different resolutions for Draw (Yes) vs. Win markets (No) in case of cancellation with no makeup; Kalshi does not specify a cancellation protocol.Hero tip: Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve Yes while Atlas Win and Tijuana Win resolve No. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined and should be clarified directly with the platform. Avoid holding positions across both platforms if cancellation risk is material.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Atlas Win (Yes if Atlas wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise), Tijuana Win (Yes if Tijuana wins, No otherwise or if canceled). All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: ligamx.net.
  • Kalshi: Three markets bundled as a single event group: Tie wins (Yes), Atlas wins (Yes), or Tijuana wins (Yes). Resolves based on outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.