TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Atlas FC vs. Club Tijuana
Volume:
$220,749
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the March 4, 2026 Liga MX soccer match between Atlas FC and Club Tijuana. Markets predict whether Atlas wins, Tijuana wins, or the match ends in a draw, all evaluated on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly assigns different resolutions for Draw (Yes) vs. Win markets (No) in case of cancellation with no makeup; Kalshi does not specify a cancellation protocol.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no makeup, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve Yes while Atlas Win and Tijuana Win resolve No. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined and should be clarified directly with the platform. Avoid holding positions across both platforms if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Atlas Win (Yes if Atlas wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise), Tijuana Win (Yes if Tijuana wins, No otherwise or if canceled). All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: ligamx.net.
- Kalshi: Three markets bundled as a single event group: Tie wins (Yes), Atlas wins (Yes), or Tijuana wins (Yes). Resolves based on outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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