Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, using the same primary source (official Serie A statistics or credible reporting consensus) and covering the identical three mutually exclusive outcomes: Juventus win, Atalanta win, or draw.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie A (legaseriea.it) or, if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excludes extra time and penalties).
Juventus win market resolves YES if Juventus scores more goals than Atalanta; otherwise NO.
Atalanta win market resolves YES if Atalanta scores more goals than Juventus; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score an equal number of goals; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Juventus and Atalanta win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is played. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Juventus win and Atalanta win markets resolve NO on both platforms. The draw market resolves YES on Polymarket and YES on Kalshi (all three Kalshi markets resolve YES per their rules).
Source Fallback: If Lega Serie A does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms use consensus of credible reporting as the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Lega Serie A or, if delayed beyond 2 hours post-match, upon establishment of credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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